اسرتاتيجية التنبؤ بالمبيعات في الامؤسسة الإقتصادية دراسةحالة المؤسسة الوطنية للدهن وحدة سوق أهراس
Date
2018
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Abstract
Sales forecasting strategy is the process by which the organization takes
consideration to address the future and development in business areas, and
also to maintain its position in the business environment, particularly if it
uses quantitative methods and applies the appropriate model in the process
forecast.
In our memory we will use the search method called BOX
JENKINS and the exponential smoothing method in seasonal sales forecasting
of the National Foundation for the Unity of SOUK-AHRAS and competent in various types
paint production, using the SPSS 24 program, and also the program
Eviews 8, then attempt to extract and analyze the results of both methods as those
used and the results showed the convergence between the real values of sales and
values which were predictable, and they are all located without exception in the domain
of the forecast in the two methods that those used, to then be extracted the
accuracy of these models and the possibility of reliable sales forecasting for periods
and as a tool for us Business Sales Forecasting Strategy.