Master theses
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Item اسرتاتيجية التنبؤ المبيعات في المؤسسة الاقتصادية دراسة حالة المؤسسة الوطنية للدهن وحدة سوق أهراس(2018) عبد ملالك بوغان ; سعد بومعزة Sales forecasting strategy is the process by which the organization takes consideration to address the future and development in business areas, and also to maintain its position in the business environment, particularly if it uses quantitative methods and applies the appropriate model in the process forecast. In our memory we will use the search method called BOX JENKINS and the exponential smoothing method in seasonal sales forecasting of the National Foundation for the Unity of SOUK-AHRAS and competent in various types paint production, using the SPSS 24 program, and also the program Eviews 8, then attempt to extract and analyze the results of both methods as those used and the results showed the convergence between the real values of sales and values which were predictable, and they are all located without exception in the domain of the forecast in the two methods that those used, to then be extracted the accuracy of these models and the possibility of reliable sales forecasting for periods and as a tool for us Business Sales Forecasting Strategy.Item اسرتاتيجية التنبؤ بالملبيعات في المؤسسة الاقتصادية دراسة حالة المؤسسة الوطنية للدهن وحدة سوق أهراس(2019) عبد المالك بوغايني; سعد بومعزة Sales forecasting strategy is the process by which the organization takes consideration to address the future and development in business areas, and also to maintain its position in the business environment, particularly if it uses quantitative methods and applies the appropriate model in the process forecast. In our memory we will use the search method called BOX JENKINS and the exponential smoothing method in seasonal sales forecasting of the National Foundation for the Unity of SOUK-AHRAS and competent in various types paint production, using the SPSS 24 program, and also the program Eviews 8, then attempt to extract and analyze the results of both methods as those used and the results showed the convergence between the real values of sales and values which were predictable, and they are all located without exception in the domain of the forecast in the two methods that those used, to then be extracted the accuracy of these models and the possibility of reliable sales forecasting for periods and as a tool for us Business Sales Forecasting Strategy. Sales forecasting strategy is the process by which the organization takes consideration to address the future and development in business areas, and also to maintain its position in the business environment, particularly if it uses quantitative methods and applies the appropriate model in the process forecast. In our memory we will use the search method called BOX JENKINS and the exponential smoothing method in seasonal sales forecasting of the National Foundation for the Unity of SOUK-AHRAS and competent in various types paint production, using the SPSS 24 program, and also the program Eviews 8, then attempt to extract and analyze the results of both methods as those used and the results showed the convergence between the real values of sales and values which were predictable, and they are all located without exception in the domain of the forecast in the two methods that those used, to then be extracted the accuracy of these models and the possibility of reliable sales forecasting for periods and as a tool for us Business Sales Forecasting Strategy. ................................................................ استراتيجية التنبؤ بالمنافذ هي عملية تتم من خلال المنظمة التي تعتمدها النظر في إمكانية المستقبل والتطوير في مجالات النشاط، وما إلى ذلك بالإضافة إلى الحفاظ على الوضع في بيئة العمل، خاصة إذا كان ذلك استخدام الأساليب الكمية وتطبيق النموذج المناسب في العملية دي بريفيجن. في ذاكرتنا جميعًا، استخدم طريقة البحث المسماة BOX جينكينز وطريقة التسليم الأسي في توقعات المبيعات الموسمية المؤسسة الوطنية لوحدة سوق أهراس والمختصة بمختلف أنواعها إنتاج الطلاء باستخدام برنامج SPSS 24، وكذلك البرنامج العروض 8، يمكنك البحث عن المزيد وتحليل نتائج الطريقتين اللتين تستخدمهما ستؤدي الاستخدامات والنتائج إلى تعزيز التقارب بين القيم الحقيقية للمبيعات و القيم التي تعتبر محتملة، وهي جميع المواقع بلا استثناء في المجال laدقة هذه النماذج وإمكانية التنبؤ بالمبيعات الممكنة لفترات زمنية أحدث التقنيات وهي أداة لإستراتيجيتنا في التنبؤ بمبيعات الأعمال. La stratégie de prévision des ventes est le processus par lequel l'organisation prend on considération pour aborder l'avenir et le développement dans les domaines d'activité, et aussi de maintenir sa position dans l'environnement des affaires, en particulier si elle utilise des méthodes quantitatives et elle applique le modèle approprié dans le processus de prévision. Dans notre mémoire nous allons utiliser la méthode de recherche nomme BOX JENKINS et la méthode de lissage exponentiel dans la prévision des ventes saisonnières de la Fondation nationale pour l'unité de SOUK-AHRAS et compétent dans divers types de production de peinture, en utilisant le programme SPSS 24, et aussi le programme Eviews 8, puis tenter d'extraire et d'analyser les résultats des deux méthodes que celles utilisées et les résultats ont montré la convergence entre les valeurs réelles des ventes et des valeurs qui étaient prévisibles, et ils sont tous situés sans exception dans le domaine de la prévision dans les deux méthodes que celles utilisées, pour être ensuite extrait la précision de ces modèles et la possibilité de prévision des ventes fiables pour des périodes ultérieures et comme un outil pour nous Stratégie de prévision des ventes d'entreprise. ........................................